{"id":767,"date":"2026-07-24T09:55:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-24T00:55:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/briefing\/2026-07-24-healthy-diets-reshape-global-agriculture-vi\/"},"modified":"2026-07-24T09:55:00","modified_gmt":"2026-07-24T00:55:00","slug":"2026-07-24-healthy-diets-reshape-global-agriculture-vi","status":"publish","type":"briefing","link":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/briefing\/2026-07-24-healthy-diets-reshape-global-agriculture-vi\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u0103n u\u1ed1ng l\u00e0nh m\u1ea1nh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed5i b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed3 n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi n\u0103m 2050"},"content":{"rendered":"

2026-07-24 09:55 KST<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nature ng\u00e0y 15\/7\/2026 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u nhi\u1ec1u m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0103n l\u00e0nh m\u1ea1nh, n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p cao h\u01a1n v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda l\u00e3ng ph\u00ed th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m. \u0110i\u1ec3m ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 trong k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y, CO2 r\u00f2ng t\u1eeb thay \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 85% so v\u1edbi 2020, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh theo \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn.<\/p>\n

LSHTM cho bi\u1ebft c\u00f9ng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m \u0111\u1ea5t n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1i \u0111a 6% so v\u1edbi 2020, gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ch\u0103n nu\u00f4i gi\u1ea3m 42%, gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb nhai l\u1ea1i gi\u1ea3m 70%, c\u00f2n rau, tr\u00e1i c\u00e2y, h\u1ea1t v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eadu t\u0103ng 57%. C\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n l\u1edbn h\u01a1n l\u00e0 b\u1eefa \u0103n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5t \u0111ai, thu nh\u1eadp n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 k\u1ebf to\u00e1n kh\u00ed h\u1eadu.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch g\u00ec<\/h2>\n

Nh\u00f3m nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u d\u00f9ng 10 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1eed \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec x\u1ea3y ra \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2050 n\u1ebfu ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0103n ki\u1ec3u EAT-Lancet \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i, n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng v\u00e0 l\u00e3ng ph\u00ed th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda. \u0110\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i m\u1ed9t d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai duy nh\u1ea5t, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n

B\u00e0i Nature v\u00e0 trang PBL k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ea5t, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, ch\u0103n nu\u00f4i v\u00e0 nh\u00f3m c\u00e2y tr\u1ed3ng. Thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0103n v\u00ec v\u1eady tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi v\u1ec1 ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 \u0111\u1ea5t v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c con s\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh<\/h2>\n

LSHTM b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u1ea5t n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p trong k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n t\u1ed1i \u0111a 6% so v\u1edbi 2020, c\u00f2n gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ch\u0103n nu\u00f4i th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 42%. Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadt nhai l\u1ea1i gi\u1ea3m 70%, trong khi rau, tr\u00e1i c\u00e2y, h\u1ea1t v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eadu t\u0103ng 57%.<\/p>\n

Con s\u1ed1 kh\u00ed h\u1eadu c\u0169ng l\u1edbn: CO2 r\u00f2ng t\u1eeb thay \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 85% so v\u1edbi 2020. C\u00e1c s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a PBL nh\u01b0 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 17% v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n US$1,6 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 l\u00e0 so v\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng business-as-usual n\u0103m 2050, n\u00ean c\u1ea7n t\u00e1ch ri\u00eang m\u1ed1c so s\u00e1nh.<\/p>\n

\"H\u00ecnh
H\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh do ONEPRESS t\u1ea1o: minh h\u1ecda k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u0103n u\u1ed1ng l\u00e0nh m\u1ea1nh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh l\u1ea1i n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p. \u0110\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i \u1ea3nh m\u1ed9t n\u00f4ng tr\u1ea1i hay v\u00f9ng c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

V\u00ec sao quan tr\u1ecdng<\/h2>\n

Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u \u0111\u1eb7t ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0103n l\u00e0nh m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0o c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p. Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh, s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ef1a nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0o gia s\u00fac nhai l\u1ea1i co l\u1ea1i, c\u00f2n tr\u00e1i c\u00e2y, rau, h\u1ea1t v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eadu m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n, logistics, gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3, th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ea5t. Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m v\u00ec v\u1eady c\u1ea7n t\u00ednh c\u1ea3 chi ph\u00ed, l\u1ee3i \u00edch v\u00e0 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec3m c\u1ea7n th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng<\/h2>\n

H\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1edf th\u00edch ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00f4ng t\u1ed1n chi ph\u00ed. Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m, gi\u00e1, v\u0103n h\u00f3a, th\u1eddi gian n\u1ea5u \u0103n, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a n\u00f4ng h\u1ed9 v\u00e0 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t thu nh\u1eadp v\u00f9ng mi\u1ec1n.<\/p>\n

V\u00ec v\u1eady 85% kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u1eddi h\u1ee9a hay d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh khi k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0103n, n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3ng ph\u00ed.<\/p>\n

B\u01b0\u1edbc ki\u1ec3m tra ti\u1ebfp theo<\/h2>\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m, tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o c\u1ee7a k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y th\u00e0nh hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c hay kh\u00f4ng. Nature gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh; LSHTM n\u00eau s\u1ed1 so v\u1edbi 2020; PBL \u0111\u01b0a so s\u00e1nh v\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng business-as-usual.<\/p>\n

Ngu\u1ed3n ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c<\/h2>\n

B\u00e0i Nature: 10 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n 2050 v\u00e0 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u1ea5t\/gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb<\/a><\/p>\n

LSHTM: gi\u1ea3m 85% CO2 r\u00f2ng do \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ea5t v\u00e0 s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u ch\u0103n nu\u00f4i\/c\u00e2y tr\u1ed3ng<\/a><\/p>\n

PBL: ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng\/gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb n\u0103m 2050 so v\u1edbi business as usual v\u00e0 nh\u00f3m m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nature ng\u00e0y 15\/7\/2026 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u nhi\u1ec1u m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0103n l\u00e0nh m\u1ea1nh, n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p cao h\u01a1n v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda l\u00e3ng ph\u00ed th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m. \u0110i\u1ec3m ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 trong k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y, CO2 r\u00f2ng t\u1eeb thay \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 85% so v\u1edbi 2020, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh theo \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":[],"class_list":["post-767","briefing","type-briefing","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/briefing\/767","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/briefing"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/briefing"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=767"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}