{"id":635,"date":"2026-07-21T00:23:07","date_gmt":"2026-07-20T15:23:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/briefing\/2026-07-21-strong-el-nino-2026-outlook-vi\/"},"modified":"2026-07-21T12:12:34","modified_gmt":"2026-07-21T03:12:34","slug":"2026-07-21-strong-el-nino-2026-outlook-vi","status":"publish","type":"briefing","link":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/briefing\/2026-07-21-strong-el-nino-2026-outlook-vi\/","title":{"rendered":"El Ni\u00f1o c\u00f3 97% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u1ebfn m\u00f9a xu\u00e2n 2027"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>2026-07-21 00:20 KST<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>El Ni\u00f1o \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 WMO d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh trong th\u00e1ng 7-9\/2026. NOAA \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh 97% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u m\u00f9a xu\u00e2n 2027 v\u00e0 81% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n<h2>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u<\/h2>\n<p>El Ni\u00f1o \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 \u0111ang m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean nhanh ch\u00f3ng. T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Kh\u00ed t\u01b0\u1ee3ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u00e1ng 7-9\/2026. \u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 ng\u00e0y 9\/7 c\u1ee7a NOAA c\u0169ng ghi nh\u1eadn t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 kh\u00ed quy\u1ec3n nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1edbi Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111ang thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi.<\/p>\n<h2>\u00dd ngh\u0129a c\u1ee7a 97% v\u00e0 81%<\/h2>\n<p>NOAA n\u00eau hai x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh: 97% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng El Ni\u00f1o k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u m\u00f9a xu\u00e2n 2027 v\u00e0 81% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh trong th\u00e1ng 10-12\/2026. Nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t \u1edf v\u00f9ng Ni\u00f1o-3.4 cao h\u01a1n trung b\u00ecnh 1,2\u00b0C, c\u00f2n WMO d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o m\u1ee9c ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch theo m\u00f9a c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t 2\u00b0C t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 v\u00f9ng tr\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec3m.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/strong-el-nino-2026-outlook-vi.png\" alt=\"\u1ea2nh v\u1ec7 tinh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o v\u1ec1 d\u1ea3i n\u01b0\u1edbc \u1ea5m b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng \u1edf x\u00edch \u0111\u1ea1o Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng\" loading=\"eager\" \/><figcaption class=\"op-briefing-image-caption\">H\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o: ONEPRESS minh h\u1ecda v\u00f9ng n\u01b0\u1edbc \u1ea5m v\u00e0 ho\u00e0n l\u01b0u kh\u00ed quy\u1ec3n li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn El Ni\u00f1o; \u0111\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed3 quan tr\u1eafc hay d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>V\u00ec sao t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng kh\u00e1c nhau theo khu v\u1ef1c<\/h2>\n<p>Con s\u1ed1 97% l\u00e0 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t El Ni\u00f1o ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t m\u1ed9t th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra l\u0169 l\u1ee5t hay h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n. El Ni\u00f1o l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i nguy c\u01a1 h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n, m\u01b0a l\u1edbn, n\u1eafng n\u00f3ng v\u00e0 s\u00f3ng nhi\u1ec7t bi\u1ec3n theo c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c nhau \u1edf t\u1eebng khu v\u1ef1c v\u00e0 m\u00f9a. Tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n ho\u1eb7c y\u1ebfu \u0111i.<\/p>\n<h2>C\u1ea7n ki\u1ec3m tra g\u00ec l\u00fac n\u00e0y<\/h2>\n<p>D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u kh\u00f4ng thay th\u1ebf d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ecdc c\u1ea7n theo d\u00f5i d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o m\u00f9a v\u00e0 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a c\u01a1 quan kh\u00ed t\u01b0\u1ee3ng qu\u1ed1c gia. Khu v\u1ef1c d\u1ec5 ng\u1eadp c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 r\u00e0 so\u00e1t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng tho\u00e1t n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch kh\u1ea9n c\u1ea5p; n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n v\u00e0 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd n\u01b0\u1edbc ki\u1ec3m tra tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng m\u01b0a; ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi n\u1eafng n\u00f3ng xem l\u1ea1i h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1eabn b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe.<\/p>\n<h2>B\u1ea3n c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt ng\u00e0y 13\/8 v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c<\/h2>\n<p>M\u1ed1c ki\u1ec3m tra ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 ng\u00e0y 13\/8\/2026, khi NOAA d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt ch\u1ea9n \u0111o\u00e1n ENSO. T\u00e0i li\u1ec7u WMO cung c\u1ea5p b\u1ee9c tranh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, c\u00f2n NOAA gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch hai x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t 97% v\u00e0 81%. H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng SPEAR c\u1ee7a NOAA GFDL d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/wmo.int\/media\/news\/el-nino-forecast-intensify-increasing-likelihood-of-extreme-weather\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kh\u00ed h\u1eadu m\u00f9a to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a WMO<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/products\/analysis_monitoring\/enso_advisory\/ensodisc.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ch\u1ea9n \u0111o\u00e1n ENSO c\u1ee7a NOAA v\u00e0 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t 97%\u00b781%<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gfdl.noaa.gov\/prediction\/july-2026-el-nino-predictions\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng SPEAR th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m c\u1ee7a NOAA GFDL<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El Ni\u00f1o \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 WMO d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh trong th\u00e1ng 7-9\/2026. NOAA \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh 97% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u m\u00f9a xu\u00e2n 2027 v\u00e0 81% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":[],"class_list":["post-635","briefing","type-briefing","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/briefing\/635","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/briefing"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/briefing"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=635"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}