{"id":631,"date":"2026-07-21T00:23:07","date_gmt":"2026-07-20T15:23:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/briefing\/2026-07-21-strong-el-nino-2026-outlook-ko\/"},"modified":"2026-07-21T12:12:34","modified_gmt":"2026-07-21T03:12:34","slug":"2026-07-21-strong-el-nino-2026-outlook-ko","status":"publish","type":"briefing","link":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/briefing\/2026-07-21-strong-el-nino-2026-outlook-ko\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5d8\ub2c8\ub1e8, 2027\ub144 \ubd04\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \ud655\ub960 97%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>2026-07-21 00:20 KST<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\uc5d8\ub2c8\ub1e8\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc2dc\uc791\ub410\uace0 WMO\ub294 2026\ub144 7~9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uac15\ud55c \ub2e8\uacc4\ub85c \ubc1c\ub2ec\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. NOAA\ub294 2027\ub144 \ucd08\ubd04\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \ud655\ub960\uc744 97%, 2026\ub144 10~12\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uac15\ud574\uc9c8 \ud655\ub960\uc744 81%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\uc774\ubbf8 \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \ubcc0\ud654<\/h2>\n<p>\uc5d8\ub2c8\ub1e8\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc2dc\uc791\ub410\uace0 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uac15\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc138\uacc4\uae30\uc0c1\uae30\uad6c(WMO)\ub294 2026\ub144 7~9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uac15\ud55c \ub2e8\uacc4\ub85c \ubc1c\ub2ec\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ud574\uc591\ub300\uae30\uccad(NOAA)\ub3c4 7\uc6d4 9\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc14\ub2e4\uc640 \ub300\uae30\uac00 \ud568\uaed8 \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>97%\uc640 81%\uac00 \ub73b\ud558\ub294 \uac83<\/h2>\n<p>NOAA\uac00 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c \ud575\uc2ec \uc22b\uc790\ub294 \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5d8\ub2c8\ub1e8\uac00 2027\ub144 \ucd08\ubd04\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \ud655\ub960\uc740 97%, 2026\ub144 10~12\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uac15\ud55c \ub2e8\uacc4\uac00 \ub420 \ud655\ub960\uc740 81%\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ub2c8\ub1e8 3.4 \ud574\uc5ed \uc218\uc628\uc740 \ud3c9\ub144\ubcf4\ub2e4 1.2\ub3c4 \ub192\uc558\uace0, WMO\ub294 \uc77c\ubd80 \ud575\uc2ec \ud574\uc5ed\uc758 \uacc4\uc808 \ud3c9\uade0 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 2\ub3c4\ub97c \ub118\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/strong-el-nino-2026-outlook-ko.png\" alt=\"\ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591 \uc801\ub3c4 \ud574\uc218\uba74\uc758 \ube44\uc815\uc0c1\uc801 \uc628\ub09c\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc81c\uc791 \uc704\uc131 \uc774\ubbf8\uc9c0\" loading=\"eager\" \/><figcaption class=\"op-briefing-image-caption\">\uc0dd\uc131 \uc774\ubbf8\uc9c0: ONEPRESS\uac00 \uc5d8\ub2c8\ub1e8\uc758 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591 \uc628\ub09c \ud574\uc5ed\uacfc \ub300\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\ud574\ud558\uae30 \uc27d\uac8c \ud45c\ud604\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c \uad00\uce21\ub3c4\ub098 \uc608\ubcf4 \uc9c0\ub3c4\uac00 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>\uc9c0\uc5ed\ub9c8\ub2e4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc774\uc720<\/h2>\n<p>97%\ub294 \uc5d8\ub2c8\ub1e8\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d\ub420 \ud655\ub960\uc774\uc9c0 \ud2b9\uc815 \ub3c4\uc2dc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud64d\uc218\ub098 \uac00\ubb44\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5d8\ub2c8\ub1e8\ub294 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uacfc \uacc4\uc808\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\ubb44, \ud3ed\uc6b0, \ud3ed\uc5fc, \ud574\uc591 \ud3ed\uc5fc\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub2e4\ub974\uac8c \ubc14\uafc9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc778\ub3c4\uc591\uacfc \ub300\uc11c\uc591 \uc0c1\ud0dc, \uc9e7\uc740 \ub300\uae30 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ub354 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\uc9c0\uae08 \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uac83<\/h2>\n<p>\uc138\uacc4 \uc804\ub9dd\ub9cc \ubcf4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc5ed \ub0a0\uc528\ub97c \ub2e8\uc815\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uc548 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac70\uc8fc \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \uae30\uc0c1\uae30\uad00\uc774 \ub0b4\ub193\ub294 \uacc4\uc808\uc608\ubcf4\uc640 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc548\ub0b4\ub97c \ud568\uaed8 \ud655\uc778\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uce68\uc218 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc740 \ubc30\uc218\uc640 \ube44\uc0c1\uacc4\ud68d\uc744, \ub18d\uac00\uc640 \ubb3c \uad00\ub9ac \uae30\uad00\uc740 \uac15\uc218 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744, \ub354\uc704\uc5d0 \ucde8\uc57d\ud55c \uc0ac\ub78c\uc740 \ud3ed\uc5fc \ud589\ub3d9\uc694\ub839\uc744 \uc810\uac80\ud560 \uc2dc\uc810\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>8\uc6d4 13\uc77c \ub2e4\uc74c \ubc1c\ud45c\uc640 \uacf5\uc2dd \uc790\ub8cc<\/h2>\n<p>\ub2e4\uc74c \ud575\uc2ec \ud655\uc778\uc77c\uc740 NOAA\uac00 \uc0c8 ENSO \uc9c4\ub2e8\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 2026\ub144 8\uc6d4 13\uc77c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. WMO \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744, NOAA \uc9c4\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 97%\uc640 81%\uc758 \uadfc\uac70\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. NOAA \uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c\uc758 SPEAR \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e4\ud5d8 \ubaa8\ub378\uc774\ubbc0\ub85c \ud655\uc815 \uc608\ubcf4\uc640 \uad6c\ubd84\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/wmo.int\/media\/news\/el-nino-forecast-intensify-increasing-likelihood-of-extreme-weather\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">WMO \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uacc4\uc808 \uae30\ud6c4 \uc804\ub9dd<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/products\/analysis_monitoring\/enso_advisory\/ensodisc.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NOAA ENSO \uc9c4\ub2e8\uacfc 97%\u00b781% \ud655\ub960<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gfdl.noaa.gov\/prediction\/july-2026-el-nino-predictions\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NOAA GFDL \uc2e4\ud5d8\uc801 SPEAR \uc804\ub9dd<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5d8\ub2c8\ub1e8\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc2dc\uc791\ub410\uace0 WMO\ub294 2026\ub144 7~9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uac15\ud55c \ub2e8\uacc4\ub85c \ubc1c\ub2ec\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. NOAA\ub294 2027\ub144 \ucd08\ubd04\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \ud655\ub960\uc744 97%, 2026\ub144 10~12\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uac15\ud574\uc9c8 \ud655\ub960\uc744 81%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":[],"class_list":["post-631","briefing","type-briefing","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/briefing\/631","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/briefing"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/briefing"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=631"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}