{"id":1599,"date":"2026-08-30T05:58:00","date_gmt":"2026-08-29T20:58:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/briefing\/2026-08-30-galapagos-enso-millennium-vi\/"},"modified":"2026-08-30T05:58:00","modified_gmt":"2026-08-29T20:58:00","slug":"2026-08-30-galapagos-enso-millennium-vi","status":"publish","type":"briefing","link":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/briefing\/2026-08-30-galapagos-enso-millennium-vi\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c ngh\u00ecn n\u0103m do san h\u00f4 Galapagos \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea1i, bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng El Ni\u00f1o g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n 36,5% so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p h\u00f3a"},"content":{"rendered":"

2026-08-30 05:58 KST<\/strong><\/p>\n

Khi kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 n\u01b0\u1edbc bi\u1ec3n h\u00e0ng ngh\u00ecn n\u0103m qua \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n h\u00f3a h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a san h\u00f4 Galapagos, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y ph\u1ea1m vi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a El Ni\u00f1o v\u00e0 La Ni\u00f1a trong 40 n\u0103m qua l\u1edbn h\u01a1n 36,5% so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p h\u00f3a. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u ph\u00e2n t\u00edch r\u1eb1ng m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y n\u1eb1m ngo\u00e0i ph\u1ea1m vi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 do bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i do El Ni\u00f1o g\u00e2y ra nh\u01b0 l\u0169 l\u1ee5t hay h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n \u0111\u1ec1u t\u0103ng 36,5%. Con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y so s\u00e1nh s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t n\u01b0\u1edbc bi\u1ec3n \u1edf ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft \u1edf t\u1eebng khu v\u1ef1c c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 gi\u1ed1ng nhau \u1edf m\u1ecdi th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/p>\n

L\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o san h\u00f4 ghi l\u1ea1i nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u0169<\/h2>\n

Khi san h\u00f4 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, ch\u00fang x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng b\u1ed9 x\u01b0\u01a1ng canxi cacbonat theo t\u1eebng l\u1edbp. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u1ecb strontium, canxi v\u00e0 oxy b\u00ean trong n\u00f3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9 \u1ea9m c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00f3. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u \u0111\u00e3 t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch gh\u00e9p 28 chu\u1ed7i th\u1eddi gian t\u1eeb 13 l\u00f5i san h\u00f4 t\u1eeb 5 h\u00f2n \u0111\u1ea3o Galapagos l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi nhau.<\/p>\n

Con s\u1ed1 36,5% so s\u00e1nh v\u1edbi con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0o?<\/h2>\n

Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u \u0111\u00e3 so s\u00e1nh s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i ENSO \u1edf ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng trong g\u1ea7n 40 n\u0103m qua v\u1edbi k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c ti\u1ec1n c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1000 \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 1850 sau C\u00f4ng Nguy\u00ean. Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i cao h\u01a1n 36,5% v\u00e0 cao h\u01a1n 16,2% so v\u1edbi to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 20. S\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 do c\u00e1c hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng El Ni\u00f1o m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

\"K\u1ef7
\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 h\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh t\u1ea1o b\u1eb1ng AI \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i \u1ea3nh ch\u1ee5p s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n, quan s\u00e1t hay th\u00ed nghi\u1ec7m th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

N\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e2n chia nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o kh\u1ecfi nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean?<\/h2>\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u \u0111\u00e3 so s\u00e1nh c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 san h\u00f4 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng ti\u1ec1n c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p t\u1eeb 12 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kh\u00ed h\u1eadu ch\u1ec9 bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c v\u1ee5 phun tr\u00e0o n\u00fai l\u1eeda, s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ee7a m\u1eb7t tr\u1eddi v\u00e0 c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u00ean trong h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng kh\u00ed h\u1eadu. C\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 ph\u1ea1m vi t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 v\u00e0 t\u0103ng l\u00ean c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 trung b\u00ecnh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u00ec \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u quan s\u00e1t n\u00ean ch\u00fang t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng quy m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n El Ni\u00f1o n\u00e0o cho m\u1ed9t ngu\u1ed3n ph\u00e1t th\u1ea3i c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3.<\/p>\n

To\u00e0n b\u1ed9 ng\u00e0n n\u0103m c\u00f3 li\u1ec1n m\u1ea1ch kh\u00f4ng?<\/h2>\n

KH\u00d4NG. C\u00e1c m\u1eabu san h\u00f4 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp bao ph\u1ee7 kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian thi\u00ean ni\u00ean k\u1ef7, k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c h\u1ed3 s\u01a1 t\u1eeb c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian v\u00e0 h\u00f2n \u0111\u1ea3o kh\u00e1c nhau. C\u00f3 nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3ng tr\u1ed1ng m\u00e0 san h\u00f4 ch\u01b0a ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ho\u1eb7c ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ea3o t\u1ed3n. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng nhi\u1ec1u m\u1eabu v\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u00f9ng nhau, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nhi\u1ec7t k\u1ebf ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n li\u00ean t\u1ee5c.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng g\u00ec c\u1ea7n ki\u1ec3m tra ti\u1ebfp theo<\/h2>\n

San h\u00f4 cho th\u1ea5y qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9 nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o cho t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai. Ch\u00fang ta c\u1ea7n x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn th\u00eam xem m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o ph\u1ea3n h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a gi\u00f3 v\u00e0 d\u00f2ng h\u1ea3i l\u01b0u \u1edf Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ed1t nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 El Ni\u00f1o ki\u1ec3u Trung Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 El Ni\u00f1o ki\u1ec3u \u0110\u00f4ng Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng kh\u00e1c nhau nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o theo m\u00f9a c\u1ee7a m\u1ed7i qu\u1ed1c gia v\u00e0 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf t\u1eeb WMO v\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c kh\u00ed t\u01b0\u1ee3ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem ri\u00eang.<\/p>\n

Ngu\u1ed3n g\u1ed1c v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m ch\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp<\/h2>\n

Science original paper<\/a><\/p>\n

EarthArXiv manuscript and methods<\/a><\/p>\n

Nature independent report<\/a><\/p>\n

AP independent report<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chu\u1ed7i th\u1eddi gian t\u1eeb 28 lo\u00e0i san h\u00f4 Galapagos cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i ENSO \u1edf ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng trong 40 n\u0103m qua cao h\u01a1n 36,5% so v\u1edbi thi\u00ean ni\u00ean k\u1ef7 ti\u1ec1n c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i \u1edf t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c s\u1ebd t\u0103ng 36,5%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":[],"class_list":["post-1599","briefing","type-briefing","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/briefing\/1599","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/briefing"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/briefing"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/onepress.co.kr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1599"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}